Saturday 26 December 2009

Should Ian Bell be in the England Team?



Should Ian Bell be in the England Side?
Going into the Second Test between South Africa and England, much of the media attention was on the selection of Ian Bell. The Warwickshire batsmen has been criticised for not scoring enough runs, and so I used the vast database ofCricInfo.com to see if the condemnation was justified through facts.
Since making his debut in 2004 against the West Indies, Bell has notched up 50 Test caps at an average of 38.90 runs per game. He has a highest score of 199 and has made eight centuries and 21 fifties.
His average is the key stat, and is probably a little short of what itshould be for a top-class middle order batsman. He undoubtedly has talent, but is often criticised of lacking discipline and temperament while batting.
He is currently tenth in the England average chart (minimum 20 innings) for the Noughties, in-between two who have captained their country: Mark Butcher (40.45) and Mike Atherton (36.87)

Bell Burst Onto the Scene With Runs Against the West Indies in '04
Player
Ave
Thorpe
53.30
Pietersen
50.18
Strauss
44.27
Trescothick
43.79
Collingwood
42.83
Cook
42.09
Vaughan
42.02
Prior
41.56
Butcher
40.45
Bell
38.90
Atherton
36.87
Stewart
36.07
Hussain
34.70
Flintoff
32.83
Key
31.00
So know we have a wide sense of Bell’s contribution since 2000, lets narrow it so it focus more on his career and immediate teammates around him.
This table shows England players selected as batsmen/wicket-keepers/all-rounders since the beginning of the 2005 (calendar year).

The chart shows Bell to have the ninth best average over this period, though with his number of caps shows a level of consistency. Jonathan Trott for instance has only played two Tests this year, with great success (average 64.25) to make him an anomaly at the right of the chart.
Bell is above Ashes 2005 heroes Michael Vaughan, Andrew Flintoff and Geraint Jones and also Ravi Bopara, who earlier this year was being hailed as the next great England batsman.

These records do not reflect too badly on Bell. He does not have the average he perhaps ought, but he is there-or-there abouts; has produced over many matches; and is surrounded by names of recent England ‘legends’.
Critics would further argue another batsman could have done a better job from county cricket. This argument is of course valid, but unproven. Who is to say what Mark Ramprakash might have averaged for his country over the last five years or Michael Carberry – but Bell has been wearing the Three Lions and scoring some runs.
However, if we then look at stats for the calendar year 2009, the results are not so kind on the under-pressure batsman.

As is quite clear 2009 has not been a good year for Bell. He has only scored two more runs than opening bowler, James Anderson, and is behind county team mate Trott despite batting five more times. He is also behind all-rounders Stuart Broad and Flintoff – the latter batting in 2009 on one fit leg – as well as off-spinner Graeme Swann.
Statistics are very fragile things, and must be used with great care – there are many comedy sketches which dismiss the use of them as they can be used to prove anything.
This look at Ian Bell does not give any certainty as to whether he should or should not be selected – but gives an extra piece of information for Andy Flower and Andrew Strauss to potentially use.
The beauty of cricket statistics is they do tell a story, but not always the whole story. Bell may have had to go in and hit out to score an extra few runs before a declaration arranged for an hour and given away his wicket for the team; he may have had a few horrible umpiring decisions go against him – none of which are given as an aside in the statistics.

How Accurate was MoreThanBalls Twelve Months Ago?

Twelve months ago I made some comments about what I would like to see happen in the sporting calendar of 2009. Looking back some of the results are quite interesting and some more accurate than others.
Although the original post was to be less of a prediction but more of a wish list, I thought I would look back and see if my wishes came true...


The Lions in South Africa:
Wish – 2-1 Lions victory with the pack being the key.
Reality – Saying the pack is going to be key in a rugby Test Series is rather obvious in retrospect, though it was crucial in the 2009 tour to South Africa.
Phil Vickery was embarrassed in the First Test by Tendai ‘The Beast’ Mtawarira, which gave the Boks the penalties and the platform to take a crucial lead.
The second Test was one of the most exciting and brutal in recent memory, and for a rush of blood to the head of Ronan O’Gara, the Lions would have had the opportunity to draw the three match series against the World Champions.
Accuracy – 3/10 (but who cares, it was a fantastic series)


The Ashes:
Wish – A repeat of 2005 with the emergence of Stuart Broad to win the urn.
Reality – Fairly spot on. Australia did lack the personalities and world class ability of 2005, though Ricky Pointing and Michael Clarke did fill these boots and Ben Hilfenhaus in particular shone. With Andrew Strauss and Andrew Flintoff bowing out for England in Test cricket, they managed to scrap a series win with equal drama to the last instalment.
Stuart Broad did come of age in the series, and with Flintoff’s retirement will need to continue.
I think the next series in 2013 being broadcast on terrestrial television speaks volumes as 2009 did not grab the public’s hearts as much as 2005, despite the drama of Monty Panesar holding on with the bat at Cardiff.
Accuracy – 9/10


British Boxing:
Wish – Calzaghe to retire, Hatton to fight Oscar de La Hoya, Carl Froch to slowly grow and Haye to fight the Klitscho’s.
Reality – Calzaghe retired while Hatton has (perhaps) been forced to retire after he was humiliatingly dismantled by Manny Pacquiao.
Froch however, has become a much bigger name on the world stage this year. He went to American and defeated the previously unanimous world middleweight champion, Jermaine Taylor, and won his first fight in the exciting Super Six Series against American prospect Andre Dirrel.
David Haye has had the most successful year though. It seemed to be all doom and gloom after his fight with Wladimir Klitschko was cancelled after Haye injured himself at his training camp in Cyprus. However, he came back and defeated Nickolai Valuev on points to become world heavyweight champion.
A fight against one of the brothers he has been shouting about should come about next year.
Accuracy – 5/10

I also asked for the England football team to become less like pre-madonnas. I was feeling a larger sense of pride in the side, but after the revelations about John Terry earning money from giving businessmen tours of Stamford Bridge, it is obvious their desire for money is omnipresent.

2009 was a great year for sport and ended a fantastic decade. I cannot wait to see what transpires over the next 12 months, but it should be exciting!

Total: 17/30

Friday 25 December 2009

Happy Birthday MoreThanBalls


MoreThanBalls is now one year old having started on Christmas Day 2008.

I hope you enjoy reading the blog, and please give any feedback/comments you may have